Naftanvs
Bate Borisov
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 5/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Naftan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bate Borisov hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (30.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40