Naftagasvs
TSC Backa Topola
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TSC Backa Topola · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naftagas 1-1 TSC Backa Topola
Original prediction
TSC Backa Topola
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.44 | 26.2% | 31.2% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 29.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.3% | 39.4% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
TSC Backa Topola
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
TSC Backa Topola has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20