Naftagasvs
Metalac GM
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naftagas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Naftagas 0-0 Metalac GM, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Naftagas 0-0 Metalac GM
Original prediction
Naftagas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.1% | 38.9% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 31.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.5% | 29.2% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Projected Score
Naftagas 0–0 Metalac GM
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Naftagas
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Naftagas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NaftagasLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metalac GMLLDLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaftagasMetalac GM
0.0Attack27.8
66.7Defence64.8
0.0Form38.9
23.7Power46.2
0.86xG0.69