Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Naftagas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naftagas 2-1 Grafičar
Original prediction
Naftagas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Naftagas
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Naftagas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NaftagasLLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75
BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
GrafičarDWLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NaftagasGrafičar
0.0Attack45.9
66.7Defence51.4
0.0Form43.2
23.7Power48.3
1.17xG1.13