Naftagasvs
FK Vozdovac
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Naftagas 0-0 FK Vozdovac, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Naftagas 2-1 FK Vozdovac
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.8% | 36.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 31.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.8% | 32.5% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Naftagas 0–0 FK Vozdovac
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NaftagasDDWWL
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FK VozdovacDWLDW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
NaftagasFK Vozdovac
51.3Attack33.3
59.0Defence71.4
35.9Form45.2
47.9Power52.2
0.93xG0.76