Naft Maysanvs
Newroz
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Naft Maysan 0-0 Newroz, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Naft Maysan 0-2 Newroz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.4% | 32.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.0% | 31.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.6% | 35.5% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Naft Maysan 0–0 Newroz
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Naft MaysanDLDDW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NewrozDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Naft MaysanNewroz
35.1Attack43.2
65.8Defence65.4
41.2Form48.1
48.2Power53.5
0.77xG0.82