Naft Maysanvs
Al Talaba
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Talaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Naft Maysan 0-0 Al Talaba, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Naft Maysan 2-0 Al Talaba
Original prediction
Al Talaba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 30.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 30.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.6% | 38.7% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
Naft Maysan 0–0 Al Talaba
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Talaba
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Al Talaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Naft MaysanDLDLD
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al TalabaWDDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Naft MaysanAl Talaba
11.1Attack44.4
55.6Defence61.1
22.2Form50.0
32.5Power55.0
0.78xG1.14