Naft Masjed Soleymanvs
Saipa
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-0 Saipa, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Saipa
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.5% | 36.6% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.1% | 32.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.4% | 31.2% | -3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Naft Masjed Soleyman 0–0 Saipa
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Naft Masjed SoleymanDWLLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SaipaLLWWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Naft Masjed SoleymanSaipa
46.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence73.3
46.7Form60.0
54.0Power57.7
0.88xG0.72