Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Naestved are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VSK Århus are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and vSK Århus hold a 46.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division, favouring VSK Århus with 12.1% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
12.1%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60