Naestvedvs
Nykobing FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nykobing FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naestved 1-1 Nykobing FC
Original prediction
Nykobing FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.5% | 30.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 28.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.7% | 41.7% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Nykobing FC
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Nykobing FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40