Naestvedvs
Middelfart
COMPLETEDDenmark · 2. Division · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middelfart · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Naestved 2-2 Middelfart
Original prediction
Middelfart
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 34.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 29.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.1% | 35.7% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Middelfart
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Middelfart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60