Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Nacional

Nacional

Home
WL
00
Full time
Leganes

Leganes

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Leganes33%
Nacional33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-0
Win probability
Nacional
33%
Draw
33%
Leganes
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nacional
34
Leganes
9
Defence
Nacional
66
Leganes
91
Momentum
Nacional
50
Leganes
33
Danger (xG)
Nacional
0.90
Leganes
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Nacional)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Leganes)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Nacional)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Leganes)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NacionalNacional
WL
LeganesLeganes
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Nacional33%
Draw33%
Leganes33%

Leganes leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nacional head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (WL), while Leganes arrive in mixed form (D). Nacional have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Leganes over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Nacional (66/100) and Leganes (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Nacional have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Leganes have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Nacional and Leganes in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-0. Win probabilities: Nacional 3333%, Draw 3333%, Leganes 3334%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Nacional

Nacional

W
vs Guimaraes
16 May 2026
20
L
@ Santa Clara
11 May 2026
02
Leganes

Leganes

D
vs Albacete
17 Jul 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nacional vs Leganes?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nacional vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-0.

Will both teams score in Nacional vs Leganes?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional vs Leganes?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more