Nacional Potosívs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nacional Potosí are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40