Nacional Potosívs
Real Oruro
COMPLETEDBolivia · Copa de la División Profesional · 10/3/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Potosí 2-0 Real Oruro
Original prediction
Nacional Potosí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.4% | 72.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.57 | 16.2% | 15.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 7.98 | 11.3% | 12.2% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20