Nacional Potosívs
Independiente Petrolero
SCHEDULEDBolivia · Primera División · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nacional Potosí are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Independiente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and independiente Petrolero hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Nacional Potosí with 12.7% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
12.7%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20