Nacional Potosívs
Independiente
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/1/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Nacional Potosí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60