Nacional Potosívs
Guabirá
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Potosí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Potosí 3-0 Guabirá
Original prediction
Nacional Potosí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.3% | 55.8% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.87 | 18.7% | 21.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 7.06 | 12.9% | 22.8% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Potosí
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00