Nacional Potosívs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Nacional Potosí are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
74.2%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80