GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/6/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nacional Potosí are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Club Guarani are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional PotosíLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Club GuaraniWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional PotosíClub Guarani
38.1Attack48.1
38.1Defence63.0
47.6Form55.6
42.5Power56.9
0.94xG1.53
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