GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/13/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional Potosí · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nacional Potosí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Boston River are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Nacional Potosí holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional Potosí

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Nacional Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional PotosíDLLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Boston RiverLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional PotosíBoston River
38.1Attack28.6
38.1Defence42.9
47.6Form28.6
42.5Power36.8
1.40xG1.00
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