Nacional Potosívs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Potosí 0-1 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 22.2% | 17.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.0% | 18.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 54.8% | 63.8% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60