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Nacional Potosí logoNacional PotosívsBoca Juniors logoBoca Juniors

COMPLETED

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/4/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nacional Potosí are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional PotosíWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca JuniorsWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nacional PotosíBoca Juniors
38.1Attack44.4
38.1Defence77.8
47.6Form66.7
42.5Power64.7
0.93xG1.46
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