Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Friday, 10 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Nacional Potosí

Nacional Potosí

Home
W
20
Full time
Aurora

Aurora

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Draw35%
Aurora34%
Nacional Potosí31%
Prediction missed— Result: Nacional Potosí
Win probability
Nacional Potosí
31%
Draw
35%
Aurora
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nacional Potosí
73
Aurora
9
Defence
Nacional Potosí
91
Aurora
27
Momentum
Nacional Potosí
100
Aurora
0
Danger (xG)
Nacional Potosí
1.80
Aurora
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nacional Potosí)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Aurora)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Nacional Potosí)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aurora)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
WD
AuroraAurora
LWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Nacional Potosí31%
Draw35%
Aurora34%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nacional Potosí head into this in Primera División fixture in mixed form (W), while Aurora arrive in mixed form (L). Nacional Potosí have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Aurora over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Nacional Potosí's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Aurora defence (27/100), while Aurora's attack is up against a watertight Nacional Potosí backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Nacional Potosí's favour.

Nacional Potosí have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Aurora have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Nacional Potosí have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 40% confidence. Win probabilities: Nacional Potosí 3083%, Draw 3500%, Aurora 3418%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Nacional Potosí 1Draws 00 Aurora
Avg goals: 2.0
10 Jul 2026
Nacional Potosí
W20
Aurora

Recent form

Nacional Potosí

Nacional Potosí

W
vs Aurora
10 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Bolívar
14 May 2026
11
Aurora

Aurora

L
@ Nacional Potosí
10 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Real Tomayapo
16 May 2026
20
D
vs Real Oruro
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more