GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 7/17/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nacional Asuncion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tacuary are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Asuncion hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Nacional Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nacional Asuncion

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional AsuncionLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TacuaryWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Nacional AsuncionTacuary
41.7Attack36.4
66.7Defence56.1
41.7Form43.9
51.6Power47.5
1.25xG0.80
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