Nacional Asuncionvs
Sportivo Trinidense
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nacional Asuncion 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Original prediction
Nacional Asuncion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.6% | 41.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 31.0% | 28.3% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Nacional Asuncion 0–0 Sportivo Trinidense
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00