GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/15/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sport Huancayo · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nacional Asuncion are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Huancayo hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Sport Huancayo holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sport Huancayo

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Sport Huancayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional AsuncionL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Sport HuancayoWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Nacional AsuncionSport Huancayo
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power47.8
1.26xG1.30
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