Nacional AsuncionvsRacing Montevideo

Nacional Asuncion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Asuncion hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Nacional Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.