Nacional Asuncionvs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Asuncion 3-0 Libertad Asuncion
Original prediction
Nacional Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.7% | 36.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.3% | 29.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.9% | 33.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60