GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nacional Asuncion are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Recoleta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Recoleta hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional AsuncionDWWDL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RecoletaDWLWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional AsuncionDeportivo Recoleta
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence62.5
33.3Form37.5
45.3Power47.4
1.07xG0.85
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