Nacional Asuncionvs
Argentinos JRS
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/2/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nacional Asuncion are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Argentinos JRS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 44.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Nacional Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60