Nacional Asuncionvs
2 de Mayo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nacional Asuncion 0-0 2 de Mayo, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional Asuncion 3-0 2 de Mayo
Original prediction
Nacional Asuncion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.5% | 46.0% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 32.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.8% | 22.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Projected Score
Nacional Asuncion 0–0 2 de Mayo
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Nacional Asuncion
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Nacional Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00