GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nacional AM are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sao Raimundo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional AM hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

33.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nacional AMLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sao RaimundoWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Nacional AMSao Raimundo
39.2Attack33.3
72.5Defence75.0
56.9Form41.7
58.4Power50.8
0.65xG0.49
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