Nacional AMvs
GAS
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional AM · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Nacional AM are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while GAS are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional AM hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the Serie D, while Nacional AM holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional AM
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Nacional AM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00