Nacional AMvs
CSA
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 8/28/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nacional AM 0-0 CSA, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nacional AM 3-1 CSA
Original prediction
CSA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.0% | 26.1% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.7% | 31.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.3% | 42.2% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Projected Score
Nacional AM 0–0 CSA
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nacional AMLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CSALLWDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Nacional AMCSA
37.0Attack63.0
72.2Defence74.1
53.7Form59.3
56.5Power63.9
0.60xG0.97