Nacional AC MGvs
Tupi
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 2 · 5/10/2023, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nacional AC MG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nacional AC MG are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tupi are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional AC MG hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Mineiro - 2, while Nacional AC MG holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nacional AC MG
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Nacional AC MG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00