Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NAC Breda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NAC Breda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while VVV Venlo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and NAC Breda hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Eerste Divisie, while NAC Breda holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NAC Breda
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
10.5%
NAC Breda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80