NAC Bredavs
FC Eindhoven
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NAC Breda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NAC Breda 4-2 FC Eindhoven
Original prediction
NAC Breda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.1% | 50.9% | -17.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.6% | 20.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 6.96 | 13.3% | 28.6% | 15.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
NAC Breda
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
NAC Breda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00