Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reipas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
MyPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Reipas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Reipas hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Reipas holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reipas
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
8.4%
Reipas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60