MyPavs
PuiU Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PuiU Helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MyPa 0-2 PuiU Helsinki
Original prediction
PuiU Helsinki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 24.6% | 30.7% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.2% | 25.6% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.2% | 43.7% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
PuiU Helsinki
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
PuiU Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80