Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PPJ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
MyPa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.00 conceded, while PPJ are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PPJ hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (30.7 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PPJ holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PPJ
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
9.6%
PPJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00