GGOALVIO

MVV logoMVVvsJong Utrecht logoJong Utrecht

COMPLETED

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/9/2026, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MVV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

MVV are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jong Utrecht are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MVV hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Eerste Divisie, while MVV holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MVV

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

MVV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MVVDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Jong UtrechtLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MVVJong Utrecht
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
2.02xG1.13
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