Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muttenz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muttenz 4-1 Thalwil
Original prediction
Muttenz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Muttenz
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Muttenz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuttenzWDWLW
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ThalwilLDDWD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MuttenzThalwil
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.98xG1.68