Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buochs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muttenz 3-1 Buochs
Original prediction
Buochs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Buochs
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Buochs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuttenzWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BuochsWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MuttenzBuochs
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power92.8
1.28xG1.72