Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muttenz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Muttenz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Buochs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and muttenz hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 2, favouring Muttenz with 9.2% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muttenz
Probability
78.8%
Model confidence
9.2%
Muttenz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80