GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · 8/5/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mutschelbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Mutschelbach are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Hollenbach are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hollenbach hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg, while Mutschelbach holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mutschelbach

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Mutschelbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MutschelbachL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
HollenbachLLLW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
MutschelbachHollenbach
65.7Attack59.8
18.6Defence33.3
40.2Form48.0
41.8Power46.9
2.84xG2.78
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