GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/1/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

14.1%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCDDWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCUniversidad Catolica
44.4Attack54.2
52.8Defence70.8
43.1Form54.2
48.5Power59.5
0.81xG1.44
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