GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Union Santa FeDDLWW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mushuc Runa SCUnion Santa Fe
59.3Attack11.1
74.1Defence55.6
81.5Form22.2
73.8Power33.0
1.86xG0.43
View match centre →