GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Liga Pro, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWDWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tecnico UniversitarioLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
42.7Attack27.8
54.7Defence55.6
42.7Form36.1
48.4Power41.6
1.24xG0.68
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