GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/4/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Palestino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 34.3-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
PalestinoDLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCPalestino
59.3Attack14.3
74.1Defence66.7
81.5Form28.6
73.8Power39.6
1.51xG0.41
View match centre →