Mushuc Runa SCvs
Orense SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/19/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Orense SC
Original prediction
Mushuc Runa SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.7% | 48.9% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.9% | 25.0% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Mushuc Runa SC
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60