GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/6/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orense SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 50.1-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

64.7%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWLWDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orense SCLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCOrense SC
59.3Attack0.0
74.1Defence66.7
81.5Form0.0
73.8Power23.7
1.84xG0.56
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